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UFC 98 Pick Recap
Saturday, June 6th, 2009George Roop (-160) defeats Dave Kaplan (+120) by split decision
I picked Roop to win this fight, and he was able to pull off a very close split decision victory. Not a bad way to start the event.
Yoshiyuki “Zenko” Yoshida (-500) defeats Brandon Wolff (+300) by submission
I liked Wolff in this one. But what can I do. +300 fighters can’t win every time, and Wolff ended up getting dominated.
Kyle Bradley (+220) defeats Phillipe Nover (-330) by TKO
I picked Bradley and he ended up winning this one very quickly because of a horribly unnecessary stoppage by the referee 1 minute into the fight. It seems like every UFC event of the last 12 months or so has had at least one terrible stoppage, and this is probably the worst of all. I understand wanting to protect fighters, but it is just getting ridiculous…
Tim “The Thrashing Machine” Hague (+220) defeats Patrick “Get Hype” Barry (-330) by submission
I picked Hague in this one. I thought that Barry was somewhat over hyped, and the fact that he got caught by a guillotine choke less than two minutes into the fight really doesn’t help to disprove that. It was at this point in the event that I knew I was going to have a good night. After winning 3 of my first 4 fights including two large underdogs (they were both +220), I knew I could lose almost every other fight of the night and still come out on top.
Frankie “The Answer” Edgar (+200) defeats Sean “The Muscle Shark” Sherk (-300) by unanimous decision
Edgar was my pick, giving me my 4th win of the night. He won in dominating fashion, taking the fight 30-27 on all three judges’ scorecards.
Matt Hughes (-275) defeats Matt Serra (+190) by unanimous decision
I picked Serra, and it was a close fight. If I had to do it all over I’d pick Serra again. There is no way that Hughes is worth -275 against any UFC caliber welterweight right now. He is just too far past his prime.
Lyoto “The Dragon” Machida (-200) defeats “Sugar” Rashad Evans (+150) by KO
I picked Evans, and if there is one pick I just missed on this is it. I didn’t think that Machida would outclass Evans, but that’s exactly what he did.
Overall, this was a great night for me. I went 4-3 with 3 of my wins coming from underdogs. I hope you had a good night as well!
UFC 98 | Yoshiyuki Yoshida vs. Brandon Wolff | Gambling Pick
Monday, April 27th, 2009
Ex Navy Seal Brandon Wolff
Welterweights:
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Yoshiyuki “Zenko” Yoshida (-500 at BetUs)
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Name (Odds)
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Brandon Wolff (+300 at BetUs)
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10-3-0 (1-1 in UFC)
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Record
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7-3-0 (0-1 in UFC)
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Japan
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Country
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United States
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Tokyo Yellow Mans
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Team
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MMAD
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34
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Age
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33
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Yoshiyuki Yoshida is a good fighter trying to make a name for himself in the UFC. His first UFC bout was a win over War Machine at UFC 84. After that he fought and was knocked out by Josh Koscheck at UFC – Fight for the Troops in December of 2008. Other than that Yoshida has notable victories over Dan Hardy, Akira Kikuchi, Matt Cain, and Katsuya Inoue.
Brandon Wolff has had a less distinguished career. The Hawaiian native doesn’t really have any great victories, but he has won 4 of his last five fights with the only loss during that period coming against the undefeated Ben Saunders. Wolff also has some knockout power. Three of his seven wins have come by TKO.
I don’t think that Wolff is the most likely winner in this fight, but given he is +300 I think he just barely has the 25% chance of victory he needs to make this a good bet. This is a line I will definitely be keeping a close eye on as UFC 98 draws closer.
My Pick: Brandon Wolff (+300)