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UFC 99 Pick Recap
Sunday, June 14th, 2009Spencer Fisher defeats Caol Uno by unanimous decision
I picked Caol Uno. I’m calling shenanigans on this one. Both MMAWeekly.com and Sherdog.com had Caol Uno winning by decision, but the judges in Germany didn’t see it that way.
Mirko Cro Cop defeats Mostapha Al-turk by 1st round TKO
I liked Al-turk in this one. It was an iffy pick, and it didn’t end up paying off.
Cain Velasquez defeats Cheick Kongo by unanimous decision
I liked the undefeated Velasquez in this contest. Kongo had Velasquez hurt a few times, but he was never able to take advantage of it. Velasquez won this bout handily.
Rich Franklin defeats Wanderlei Silva by unanimous decision
I picked Franklin. This fight was closer than I thought it would be (Sherdog.com actually had Silva winning by split decision). Franklin ended up being about a -150 favorite when the fight started, and I thought he would look more dominant than he did. But he won, so how much can I really complain?
Although my picks didn’t turn a profit I am still happy with them. If the Uno decision would have gone the other way everything would have turned out fine.
UFC 99 | Betting Line Update | 6-11-09
Thursday, June 11th, 2009
Wanderlei's action figure looks much cooler than Franklin's. Don't you think?
| Rich Franklin | Wanderlei Silva |
| -145 at BetUs (Previously -150) | +105 at BetUs (Previously +110) |
Comment: Jeeze! I didn’t think that Franklin’s odds were going to dip any more. I still love Franklin, but he has been sliding so fast I would recommend you wait at this point and hope his line goes down a little more.
UFC 99 | Betting Line Update | 6-10-09
Wednesday, June 10th, 2009
Mini Ace
| Rich Franklin | Wanderlei Silva |
| -150 at BetUs (Previously -155) | +110 at BetUs (Previously +115) |
Comment: I picked Franklin to win at -155, so I obviously still like him at -150. If you like Franklin, I’d recommend placing a bet now. I really don’t see the line sliding any more.
UFC 99 | Rich Franklin vs. Wanderlei Silva | Gambling Pick
Monday, June 8th, 2009
A UFC event in Germany? This should be interesting...
195 Pounds (Catchweight):
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Rich “Ace” Franklin (-155 at BetUs)
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Name (Odds)
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Wanderlei “The Axe Murderer” Silva (+115 at BetUs)
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24-4-0 (11-3 in UFC)
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Record
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32-9-1 (2-4 in UFC)
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United States
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Country
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Brazil
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Team Extreme
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Team
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Wand Fight Team
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34 Years Old
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Age
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32 Years Old
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Wanderlei Silva is a living legend, but he is overvalued at +115 against Rich Franklin. Silva has lost 4 of his last 5 fights, and he has never fared well in the UFC octagon. On top of that he is facing a fighter whose only four losses are against Dan Henderson (in a split decision), Anderson Silva (twice), and Lyoto Machida.
I see only two ways for Silva to win this fight. The first way is by a surprise devastating knockout. The Axe Murderer will always have his killer knee strikes. The second possibility is that Rich Franklin is past his prime, and Silva will be able to compete with him technically. I don’t see this happening. At -155 Franklin needs a 61% chance of winning. I definitely thinks he has this chance.
My Pick: Rich Franklin (-155)