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UFC 98 Pick Recap
Saturday, June 6th, 2009George Roop (-160) defeats Dave Kaplan (+120) by split decision
I picked Roop to win this fight, and he was able to pull off a very close split decision victory. Not a bad way to start the event.
Yoshiyuki “Zenko” Yoshida (-500) defeats Brandon Wolff (+300) by submission
I liked Wolff in this one. But what can I do. +300 fighters can’t win every time, and Wolff ended up getting dominated.
Kyle Bradley (+220) defeats Phillipe Nover (-330) by TKO
I picked Bradley and he ended up winning this one very quickly because of a horribly unnecessary stoppage by the referee 1 minute into the fight. It seems like every UFC event of the last 12 months or so has had at least one terrible stoppage, and this is probably the worst of all. I understand wanting to protect fighters, but it is just getting ridiculous…
Tim “The Thrashing Machine” Hague (+220) defeats Patrick “Get Hype” Barry (-330) by submission
I picked Hague in this one. I thought that Barry was somewhat over hyped, and the fact that he got caught by a guillotine choke less than two minutes into the fight really doesn’t help to disprove that. It was at this point in the event that I knew I was going to have a good night. After winning 3 of my first 4 fights including two large underdogs (they were both +220), I knew I could lose almost every other fight of the night and still come out on top.
Frankie “The Answer” Edgar (+200) defeats Sean “The Muscle Shark” Sherk (-300) by unanimous decision
Edgar was my pick, giving me my 4th win of the night. He won in dominating fashion, taking the fight 30-27 on all three judges’ scorecards.
Matt Hughes (-275) defeats Matt Serra (+190) by unanimous decision
I picked Serra, and it was a close fight. If I had to do it all over I’d pick Serra again. There is no way that Hughes is worth -275 against any UFC caliber welterweight right now. He is just too far past his prime.
Lyoto “The Dragon” Machida (-200) defeats “Sugar” Rashad Evans (+150) by KO
I picked Evans, and if there is one pick I just missed on this is it. I didn’t think that Machida would outclass Evans, but that’s exactly what he did.
Overall, this was a great night for me. I went 4-3 with 3 of my wins coming from underdogs. I hope you had a good night as well!
UFC 98 | Betting Line Updates | 5-17-09
Sunday, May 17th, 2009
I think it's kind of an ugly poster. Any thoughts?
| Matt Hughes | Matt Serra |
| -275 at BetUs (Previously -250) | +190 at BetUs (Previously +185) |
Comment: I thought Serra was an OK pick at +185. I like him a little more at +190
| Phillipe Nover | Kyle Bradley |
| -400 at BetUs (Previously -500) | +250 at BetUs (Previously +300) |
Comment: From my previous post: I don’t think that Bradley will stay at +300, so if you like him at those odds, I would recommend making the bet right now. See! Sometimes I do know what I’m talking about. That said, I still like Bradley at +250.
UFC 98 | Matt Hughes vs. Matt Serra | Gambling Pick
Friday, April 24th, 2009
The Terror
Welterweights:
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Matt Hughes (-250 at BetUs)
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Name (Odds)
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Matt “The Terror” Serra (+185 at BetUs)
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42-7-0 (14-5 in UFC)
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Record
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9-5-0 (6-5 in UFC)
|
|
United States
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Country
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United States
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|
HIT Squad
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Team
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Serra Jiu-Jitsu
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35 Years Old
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Age
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34 Years Old
|
A potentially washed up fighter versus a potentially overrated fighter. I can’t say I’m really in love with this match up. Matt Serra jumped to the top of the welterweight division with an unbelievable showing against Georges St. Pierre at UFC 69 in 2007. After that fight he was forced to take over a year off because of injury before stepping into the ring and losing a rematch to St. Pierre. Other than those two fights, Serra has had a pretty much undistinguished career.
Matt Hughes stood on top of the UFC welterweight division starting with his win over Carlos Newton in 2001, and ending with his loss to Georges St. Pierre in 2006. Sure, he lost to B.J. Penn during that period, but he was able to avenge that defeat. What I really don’t like about Hughes is the fact that he has lost three of his last four fights. I can’t help but think there is a chance that Hughes doesn’t quite have the hunger that he used to, and because of this I really can’t take him at -250.
At +185 I thnk that Serra is a decent value for the money.
Fun Fact: In 2000 Matt Serra became the first American to be awarded a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu by Renzo “Matt’s Favorite” Gracie.
My Pick: Matt “The Terror” Serra (+185)