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May 5th, 2009 Live Pick Updates
Tuesday, May 5th, 2009
The Polish Experiment - Houston Alexander's Replacement
It has been announced that Houston Alexander has withdrawn from his UFC 98 bout against Andre Gusmao because of a broken hand. It appears that Krzysztof “The Polish Experiment” Soszynski will be his replacement. Other than that none of the previously written lines have changed. I will pick the Soszynski vs. Gusmao fight as soon as betting lines become available.
UFC 98 | Andre Gusmao vs. Houston Alexander | Gambling Pick
Tuesday, April 28th, 2009
The Assassin
Light Heavyweights:
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Andre Gusmao (-300 at BetUs)
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Name (Odds)
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Houston “The Assassin” Alexander (+200 at BetUs)
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5-1-0 (0-1 in UFC)
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Record
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8-4-0 (2-3 in UFC)
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Brazil
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Country
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United States
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Team
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||
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31 Years Old
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Age
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37 Years Old
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Andre Gusmao is an IFL veteran with one fight of UFC experience. His only loss in the UFC was against the undefeated Jon Jones. Before that loss, Gusmao went 4-0 in the IFL with two impressive victories over Mike Ciesnolevicz. Gusmao is also a professor of Capoeira. What is Capoeira you ask? Here’s a quick explanation:
Omaha underground hip-hop legend Houston Alexander has had a rough time lately. Since starting his UFC career 2-0 he has lost his last three fights. His first loss was a respectable defeat against the beast that is Thiago Silva. After that he was defeated by James Irvin in 8 seconds, although some people found that stoppage to be questionable (I was not among them, although that might have something to do with me picking Irvin at +215). His most recent defeat came against Eric Schafer in a fight where Alexander started strong, but his lack of conditioning started to show only a couple of minutes into the fight (I also picked Scafer at +205).
I only mention that I picked against Alexander in his previous two fights, because I’m going to switch it up here. I really think The Assassin has a good chance of beating Andre Gusmao in this fight. He definitely has the one-in-three chance needed to pick him at +200. I’m not sure where this line is going to move, but I don’t really see it swaying too far either way. Because of this I would recommend waiting until after the weigh-in before placing a bet. I say this because Alexander came into last fight so out of shape, maybe the weigh-in will give some hint of what kind of conditioning he is in.
My Pick: Houston “The Assassin” Alexander (+200)
UPDATE: Houston Alexander was forced to pull out of this fight on May 4th citing a broken hand as the reason.
Ultimate Fight Night: Diaz vs. Neer Quick Thoughts
Thursday, September 18th, 2008- I wish the telecast would have been three hours. Both the knockout of the night (Alessio Sakara) and submission of the night (Wilson Gouveia) occurred on the dark undercard
- Houston Alexander’s stint in the UFC has to be over, right? Maybe you can keep him around to fight other strikers, but a fighter with three consecutive losses shouldn’t be in the UFC.
- I didn’t believe all of the hype about Clay Guida before yesterday, but he seems to be legit. I’ve seen young (18-21 year old) fighters with his kind of energy, but to have his energy at 27 is absurd.
- Nate Diaz is going to be insanely good. He’s far from unbeatable now, but give him a few more years of experience and he will be among the very best of the lightweight division.
- Did anybody watch the premiere of The Ultimate Fighter afterwords? How stupid is Clay Guida’s brother?
- If you would have put equal money on my four picks from last night you would have shown a 13.75% profit.
UFN | Houston Alexander vs. Eric Schafer | Gambling Pick
Tuesday, September 16th, 2008
Fun Fact: Houston Alexander is an Omaha Underground Hip-Hop Legend
Light Heavyweights:
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Houston
"The Assassin" Alexander (-265 on BodogLife) |
Name (Odds)
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Eric "Red" Schafer (+205 on BodogLife)
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8-3-0 (2-2 in UFC)
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Record
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9-3-2 (1-2 in UFC)
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United States
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Country
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United States
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Team
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Roufusport
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36 Years Old
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Age
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30 Years Old
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Alexander is a striker. Schafer is a submission fighter. Alexader has lost his last two fights. Schafer has lost two of his last four, including his last two UFC contests. I don’t really like either of these guys. I know Alexander has a lot of striking power, and is rightfully the favorite. But I also know that I’m not going to put money on somebody at -265 if they’ve lost their last two fights.
My Pick: Eric Schafer (+205 on BodogLife)